27 Days to Go
270 Electoral Votes Needed to Win-27 Days to Go!
Obama is leading by 10% or more (Strong Dem) in states that have 228 Electoral Votes.
Obama is leading by 5% through 9% (Weak Dem) in states that have 49 Electoral Votes.
Thus, Obama is leading by 5% or more in states that have 277 Electoral Votes
In addition, Obama is leading by 4% in states that have 41 Electoral Votes.
From Electoral-Vote.com
Assuming that little will change from now until 11/4, the only open question remaining is the extent to which the "Bradley Effect" will alter the results of the election.
From Wikipedia:
The "Bradley Effect" is named for Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor's race despite being [significantly] ahead in voter polls. [It] refers to a tendency on the part of voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a Black candidate, and yet, on election day, vote for his/her white opponent.
Michael
Obama is leading by 10% or more (Strong Dem) in states that have 228 Electoral Votes.
Obama is leading by 5% through 9% (Weak Dem) in states that have 49 Electoral Votes.
Thus, Obama is leading by 5% or more in states that have 277 Electoral Votes
In addition, Obama is leading by 4% in states that have 41 Electoral Votes.
From Electoral-Vote.com
Strong Dem (228) | |
Weak Dem (49) | |
Barely Dem (72) | |
Exactly tied (15) | |
Barely GOP (11) | |
Weak GOP (63) | |
Strong GOP (100) |
Assuming that little will change from now until 11/4, the only open question remaining is the extent to which the "Bradley Effect" will alter the results of the election.
From Wikipedia:
The "Bradley Effect" is named for Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor's race despite being [significantly] ahead in voter polls. [It] refers to a tendency on the part of voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a Black candidate, and yet, on election day, vote for his/her white opponent.
Michael
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